Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb1edc9f5b21611d28b490738da7c9e03bbd303b8a2e4e06e93bb0b7700bd4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 6,549$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 3,006$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.57 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 55c | 2,998$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.85 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 2,362$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.96 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,960$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.59 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 11c | 1,956$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.21 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 46c | 1,293$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.1 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 1,003$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 44c | 894.18$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 32c | 653.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 58c | 570.29$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 537.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 5c | 536.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 10c | 506.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked No | 9c | 493.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 9c | 371.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 319.49$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…ccf1backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed No | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed No | 13c | 290$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 67c | 289.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 18c | 284$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 9c | 266.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 256.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 17c | 235.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 66c | 200.38$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 54c | 199.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 66c | 178.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 134.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 129.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 16c | 110.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 44c | 107.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 96.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 23c | 92.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 45c | 90.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 68c | 87.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 14c | 84.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 13c | 79.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 52c | 77.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed No | 46c | 60.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 34c | 53.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 44c | 42.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…5513backed No | 33c | 41.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…74aebacked Yes | 64c | 38.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 45c | 33.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 55c | 30.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Yes | 45c | 26.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…922bbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.