Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe262ab5354c0e7ebbd8c55ba6d4e89f625735cdc1d7486fefe8ba7e32a1e981c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 4,478$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 3c | 1,932$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 1,689$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,559$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 1,066$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 3c | 1,014$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 14c | 643.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 32c | 415.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 355.6$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 23c | 354.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 301.74$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 299.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed No | 70c | 286.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 31c | 193.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 31c | 179.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 71c | 141.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 15c | 100.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 31c | 89.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 68c | 73.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 53.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…74aebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 30c | 46.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 22.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…7a2abacked No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 69c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…922bbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.