Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7126655b6058c34da6997778ab4beabbed268124e062dca2e6317bd647b59c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0020…4d7ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 1,704$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 844.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 794.02$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 75c | 720.11$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 27c | 288.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 74c | 196.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 80c | 127.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 18c | 118.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 78.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 77.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Yes | 26c | 45.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 42.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 75c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.