Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f818873f6c66da3edbe2b65de4d466151804def36b9a92c8a5347dc625a600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 34c | 112,580$38,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,705.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 34c | 52,726$17,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,926.83 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 27,224$17,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.35 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 26,962$17,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,290 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 25,409$19,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,291.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 64c | 23,438$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 19c | 20,959$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.83 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 18,568$14,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.43 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 66c | 16,341$10,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 6,735$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 66c | 6,400$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 5,991$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.94 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 66c | 4,800$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…b900backed Yes | 34c | 3,926$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 3,669$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.26 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 3,550$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 3,260$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.35 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 66c | 2,800$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 2,693$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.41 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 66c | 2,400$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 65c | 2,368$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 65c | 2,269$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 65c | 2,148$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.32 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 37c | 2,008$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.3 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…07d1backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 65c | 1,840$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 1,823$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.71 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…8b8dbacked No | 65c | 1,661$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fda…1fb9backed No | 66c | 1,579$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 62c | 1,540$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 66c | 1,364$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 16c | 1,350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…0e82backed No | 66c | 1,301$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed No | 67c | 1,300$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed No | 65c | 1,150$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 1,116$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.92 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 1,098$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 57c | 1,093$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.89 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 64c | 1,088$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.68 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,056$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 67c | 1,052$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.56 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…227ebacked No | 66c | 1,045$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 66c | 1,040$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 66c | 1,040$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed No | 63c | 1,020$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 1,010$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.23 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 1,000$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.63 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 66c | 1,000$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 72c | 997.6$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.6 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 57c | 933$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 4c | 850$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 65c | 808$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 64c | 777.63$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 731$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 730.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 729.72$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 35c | 659.96$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 66c | 640$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 66c | 624$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 66c | 624$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 606.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 64c | 599.97$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 594.56$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 66c | 560$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 64c | 545.8$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.78 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 65c | 538.46$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 17c | 537.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 56c | 491.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 33c | 476.79$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 66c | 475$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 458.88$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 13c | 437.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.