Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8091348d2207132af5849deff030c895d8231581525bc4e364e9cdd3d634ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 61c | 98,474$59,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,684.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Yes | 39c | 45,242$17,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,750.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 64c | 29,034$18,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,491.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 24,229$9,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,776.24 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 19,887$11,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,593.65 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 38c | 14,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 12,717$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,104.64 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 11,636$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.56 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 64c | 10,325$6,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 39c | 9,993$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095.51 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 9,972$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.59 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 63c | 9,733$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 9,658$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 33c | 7,370$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.66 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 40c | 6,901$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.95 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 6,400$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 39c | 6,371$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 39c | 5,679$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.97 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes | 59c | 5,535$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 60c | 5,447$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.08 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 5,002$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 61c | 4,800$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 47c | 4,405$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 39c | 4,307$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.48 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 39c | 3,911$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.75 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,892$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.67 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 3,855$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.55 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.15 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 37c | 3,705$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 3,575$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.58 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 39c | 3,261$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.13 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 38c | 3,245$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…f7d1backed Yes | 40c | 3,064$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 38c | 2,994$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.49 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…085bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,916$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 2,909$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.94 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 62c | 2,840$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 61c | 2,800$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 2,531$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.56 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…6089backed Yes | 39c | 2,491$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 41c | 2,369$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.02 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 62c | 2,348$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…f8afbacked No | 61c | 2,309$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…df0ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,282$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…80b1backed No | 61c | 2,236$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 2,178$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.58 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 39c | 2,128$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.08 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 39c | 2,105$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 38c | 2,073$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…07d1backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…2141backed No | 61c | 1,765$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 39c | 1,714$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.29 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 39c | 1,598$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.78 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Yes | 40c | 1,550$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 74c | 1,547$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…2d43backed No | 61c | 1,529$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 38c | 1,522$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.33 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9616…9549backed No | 61c | 1,479$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190d…7516backed No | 61c | 1,435$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 39c | 1,410$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 48c | 1,371$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.79 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,213$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 2c | 1,211$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed No | 31c | 1,144$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 63c | 1,075$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.17 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 31c | 1,051$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 61c | 1,040$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.4 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 61c | 1,040$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Yes | 74c | 1,018$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 61c | 976.35$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.57 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 963.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.39 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 39c | 877.07$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.01 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 19c | 749.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 67c | 661.26$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.43 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 659.85$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.11 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 641$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 641$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 61c | 640$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Yes | 37c | 630$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 624$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 61c | 624$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 39c | 580$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 41c | 579.82$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 39c | 564.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 36c | 562.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +78%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 61c | 560$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked Yes | 76c | 520$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.