Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5bdfd46589aaf24145fcfa7ba06e293c45e4d65f803fa688fe70ff0c435fa4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 16,170$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.21 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 12,580$8,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.84 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 8,516$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.65 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…07d1backed No | 73c | 5,003$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…e1fdbacked No | 74c | 4,411$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,101$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.85 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 34c | 2,098$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 27c | 1,970$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 1,843$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.44 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 1,616$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.37 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,121$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 1,062$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.37 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 69c | 910.71$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 42c | 697.34$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Yes | 24c | 654.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 640$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…6603backed Yes | 15c | 501.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 29c | 493.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 477.94$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 26c | 454.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 365$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 363.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 363.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 301.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 270.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 22c | 259.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 28c | 222.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 25c | 218.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 26c | 215.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 212.84$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 154.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 23c | 147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 133.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 30c | 131.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 21c | 119$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed No | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…1df8backed No | 74c | 100.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 12c | 92.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 92.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 58c | 82.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…541dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 33c | 64.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…6a7dbacked Yes | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 58.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 26c | 57.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…78a6backed Yes | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 53.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 74c | 47.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…013bbacked No | 74c | 44.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 41.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…1c76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…51bdbacked No | 75c | 34.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 70c | 33.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 28.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bb…64debacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 75c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 69c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed No | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 74c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.