TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ea7…0e82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-67.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.79
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$75.55
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.54
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$35.99
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$21.85
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.24
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.43
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$65.63
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.93
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+177.8%+$18.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$109.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$442.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Delhi: Karan Singh vs Daniel Michalskibacked Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$31.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$37.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.