TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe30e…6b87backed No73c72,000$52,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,607.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No72c36,956$26,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,347.6817338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c33,533$9,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,234.441,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c22,924$6,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,476.71,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes28c20,512$5,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,640.836850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c20,030$5,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,125.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No72c11,721$8,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.894645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes28c10,419$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.633555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes30c8,294$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c6,894$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.3876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c6,000$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.9810548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c5,733$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c5,714$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.0337144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes28c5,426$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.7321849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes28c4,720$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.510558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.946845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes21c2,053$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes27c1,546$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7e…3fb8backed Yes28c1,321$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes29c1,170$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c1,117$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.768141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8807…8887backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Yes30c918$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes26c872.75$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9146536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19621957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c653.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.984,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes24c558.89$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.952,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes29c552.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes28c502$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Yes28c460$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+78%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Yes5c445.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.231030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes27c438.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3111520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes27c407.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c399.08$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0225954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes31c380.65$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11812241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b44…21c2backed Yes30c368.59$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes23c368.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.423738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c357$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes29c354.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.951,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Yes27c326.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.927052.9%37 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked No70c320.51$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.153652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c318.6$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3921444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…f862backed Yes30c305.89$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc26…bdd3backed Yes6c266.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed Yes30c237$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.15141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes22c226.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.741827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes31c222$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8248140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No71c221.72$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.324653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes30c201.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5512128.1%34 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a54…ae8fbacked Yes30c196.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No70c195.41$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8325554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0039…1ce1backed Yes30c190.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f43…8be2backed Yes30c190.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes27c189.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2917158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010541.9%44 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes28c176.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7923751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…7b85backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc3…f5ffbacked No71c150.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x405f…5852backed No71c149.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4246743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes28c137.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.274025%10 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No71c135.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6414948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f23…6d15backed Yes22c130.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.711338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x206c…4f34backed No71c129.21$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No72c126.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3816341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc06…0964backed Yes14c125$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No73c124.05$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes21c123.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes28c108.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4723749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Yes23c108.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.872937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284841.7%20 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes23c97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.332729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x059d…91fbbacked Yes29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d54…6a78backed No71c89.57$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes29c89.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4534144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes28c88.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255850%29 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes27c84.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.117757.1%44 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea7…0e82backed No71c77.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64cd…e0d1backed No71c77.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.