Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dae4c84a25e51e41def20aa89b1283a295208cb573d9051e0144becd58075f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 114,401$48,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,718.23 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 42c | 45,464$19,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,243.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 57c | 29,187$16,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,636.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 25,154$14,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,512.82 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 58c | 23,700$13,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,746 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 43c | 19,387$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,054.07 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 18,240$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.03 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 42c | 15,598$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,061.03 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 11,615$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.08 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Yes | 42c | 10,614$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,106.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 42c | 10,456$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,064.48 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 9,476$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 59c | 9,417$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 42c | 8,983$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.93 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 57c | 8,235$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 40c | 8,147$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 8,007$4,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,654.19 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 58c | 8,000$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 57c | 7,797$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.31 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed No | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 6,810$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.77 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 58c | 6,800$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 43c | 6,195$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 41c | 5,843$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.43 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 57c | 4,190$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.51 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…9c35backed No | 58c | 3,649$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 3,284$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.81 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 3,271$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.12 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 41c | 3,071$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.73 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 57c | 2,858$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.03 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 58c | 2,817$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 57c | 2,522$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.2 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 15c | 2,483$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 59c | 2,350$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked Yes | 42c | 2,283$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.54 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 57c | 2,040$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.8 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 59c | 1,940$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 59c | 1,866$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…3fb8backed Yes | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 26c | 1,757$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed No | 51c | 1,700$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 22c | 1,600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 69c | 1,405$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.62 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed No | 32c | 1,381$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 40c | 1,253$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…1a6fbacked No | 60c | 1,225$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,163$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 58c | 1,142$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.9 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…992ebacked No | 58c | 1,048$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 14c | 1,007$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8807…8887backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 41c | 999.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 58c | 943.1$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 52c | 910.24$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 888.21$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 43c | 862.79$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…22abbacked No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes | 43c | 830.87$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 40c | 816.76$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.69 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed No | 12c | 789.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes | 41c | 773.17$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed No | 12c | 748.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 68c | 737.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.03 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 57c | 701$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 79c | 691.86$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 684.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 39c | 640.05$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.05 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 73c | 619.69$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 41c | 609.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.73 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 59c | 599.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?No won
- Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.