TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f23…6d15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 68 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$22.59
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$67
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.02
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$13.06
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$29.24
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.31
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.83
Paul George: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.43
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.73
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.76
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.78
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.19
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$7.18
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2185.7%18 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$146.41
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$146.41
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.01
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$104.45
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$105.11
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$135.18
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$97.02
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$49.78
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.24
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.45
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.91
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$20.24
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.82
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.71
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.31
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.35
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.26
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$32.9
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.37
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.5
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.18
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.79
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.71
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.11
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$128.59
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.46
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$20.11
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.03
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$12.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.19
Will CA Tucumán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.94
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$13.39
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.86
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$15.14
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.9
CA Paranaense vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.04
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.78
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.88
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.78
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.38
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$130.07
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.01
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$33.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.98
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.36
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+60%+$53.32
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.68
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Derby County FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81%+$54.24
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$15.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.86
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$24.09
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.43
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$17.77
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.54
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.82
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.75
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$3.88
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$68.91
Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Rafael Jodar vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicakbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.98
Murcia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.