NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81edac85ad1e2da4614a9007ee3c3ce9f4d0149f87a82932ff9b3d501c0be20b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $799,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $799,734 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Heat | 55c | 193,622$106,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,196.27 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Heat | 55c | 91,195$49,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,233.95 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 60,562$27,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,253.06 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 46c | 54,527$25,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,029.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 55c | 51,683$28,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,310.13 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 47,471$21,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,366.78 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Cavaliers | 45c | 18,667$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Heat | 54c | 13,663$7,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers | 45c | 12,099$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.57 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 57c | 11,591$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 46c | 11,042$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.1 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Cavaliers | 46c | 10,353$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.02 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Cavaliers | 46c | 10,304$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.38 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.96 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Heat | 50c | 9,997$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.45 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,911$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Heat | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Heat | 54c | 9,158$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.53 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers | 45c | 9,111$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 53c | 8,888$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.34 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 8,193$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Heat | 54c | 6,845$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.33 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Cavaliers | 47c | 6,631$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Heat | 53c | 6,550$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.6 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,500$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.5 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…92e0backed Cavaliers | 45c | 5,457$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Cavaliers | 45c | 5,148$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.6 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 4,800$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Heat | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 41c | 4,384$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 46c | 4,263$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Heat | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.07 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat | 53c | 4,038$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.17 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,983$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.2 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 3,980$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.12 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Heat | 53c | 3,698$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.16 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,027$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…4c33backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,708$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5a…0d7bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,687$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…81d8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,687$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Heat | 51c | 2,599$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.38 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…b776backed Heat | 51c | 2,589$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…b434backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,529$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Heat | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…1d05backed Heat | 51c | 2,448$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Heat | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.41 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…f564backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,310$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56f…3bf2backed Heat | 51c | 2,291$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Heat | 56c | 2,280$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…c639backed Heat | 51c | 2,275$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb73d…f70fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,244$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…0134backed Heat | 51c | 2,221$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…105abacked Heat | 51c | 2,221$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…ae15backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,214$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2f6dbacked Heat | 51c | 2,199$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…49b2backed Heat | 51c | 2,159$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…c1e8backed Heat | 51c | 2,148$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…6d68backed Heat | 51c | 2,115$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 43c | 2,107$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,077$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.26 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…2810backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,070$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,045$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.6 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Heat | 54c | 2,040$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.04 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a1…0aa9backed Heat | 51c | 2,015$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Cavaliers | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,956$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.76 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…3f18backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,873$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…b6febacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,858$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Heat | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…f920backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,748$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…8521backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,726$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…fe7abacked Heat | 51c | 1,660$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…9a2abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,655$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 1,596$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.1 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Heat | 55c | 1,589$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.06 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22d…0acbbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,575$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,571$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…576abacked Heat | 51c | 1,539$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…30e9backed Heat | 51c | 1,496$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…a8debacked Heat | 51c | 1,484$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Heat | 56c | 1,402$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.33 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Cavaliers | 41c | 1,345$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.43 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,328$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.77 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Heat | 53c | 1,310$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.91 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,300$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25da…372cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,287$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,265$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…3b36backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,257$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…89fcbacked Heat | 51c | 1,186$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…cadfbacked Heat | 51c | 1,133$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 42c | 1,095$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.23 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…1095backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,095$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat | 51c | 1,077$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.55 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…28cdbacked Heat | 51c | 1,037$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Heat | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Cavaliers | 45c | 943$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.92 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Heat vs. CavaliersHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.