NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860c80210cdff8ef1d709508f4d72602a225ae20191c2a985e254ee0908835b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,215 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3578…46f8backed Over | 50c | 2,961$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b5…b3c4backed Under | 51c | 2,938$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…f9fabacked Under | 51c | 2,919$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…01f7backed Under | 50c | 2,853$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…b08abacked Over | 49c | 2,788$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…98cabacked Over | 49c | 2,778$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…3b86backed Over | 50c | 2,771$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…d895backed Over | 50c | 2,751$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…1ed2backed Under | 51c | 2,730$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…e2cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,535$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…71b7backed Under | 50c | 2,533$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…7ef9backed Under | 51c | 2,505$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…33b3backed Under | 51c | 2,486$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Under | 52c | 2,446$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.42 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…2579backed Over | 50c | 2,421$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…19fcbacked Over | 49c | 2,385$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…fdedbacked Under | 51c | 2,306$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…8454backed Over | 49c | 2,303$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5689…6da1backed Under | 51c | 2,267$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…8d3abacked Under | 51c | 2,265$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…6fdabacked Under | 51c | 2,220$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…a473backed Under | 51c | 2,213$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,192$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cc…4b07backed Under | 50c | 2,133$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f4…e800backed Under | 50c | 2,133$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b3…70bcbacked Over | 50c | 2,111$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…a57ebacked Over | 50c | 2,079$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…590cbacked Over | 49c | 2,061$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda06…ed46backed Over | 49c | 2,056$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…46a2backed Under | 50c | 2,055$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e7…286ebacked Under | 50c | 2,051$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2486…3c31backed Under | 50c | 1,981$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…c0e2backed Under | 51c | 1,969$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…716bbacked Over | 49c | 1,951$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…9d6dbacked Over | 49c | 1,902$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…bc9cbacked Over | 49c | 1,861$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Under | 53c | 1,860$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…bed9backed Over | 49c | 1,820$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…3d98backed Over | 50c | 1,766$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…78b2backed Over | 49c | 1,732$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…be85backed Over | 49c | 1,732$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…03cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,710$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…075abacked Under | 51c | 1,671$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e3…c043backed Over | 49c | 1,641$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…1751backed Over | 50c | 1,616$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…8592backed Over | 49c | 1,578$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa13…16a2backed Under | 50c | 1,574$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…63edbacked Under | 51c | 1,541$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584b…5c81backed Under | 51c | 1,524$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…28e5backed Over | 49c | 1,520$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…ba9bbacked Over | 49c | 1,515$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…4b95backed Over | 49c | 1,487$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…c82cbacked Over | 49c | 1,472$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…2d5ebacked Under | 51c | 1,339$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00bc…e451backed Over | 50c | 1,338$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…c985backed Under | 51c | 1,337$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…2f68backed Under | 50c | 1,282$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…4a48backed Over | 49c | 1,272$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f86…64f5backed Under | 50c | 1,238$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,191$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…ae5abacked Under | 50c | 1,156$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…4c21backed Over | 50c | 1,154$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…0ef7backed Under | 51c | 1,112$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b9…f169backed Under | 51c | 1,104$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,080$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…42c9backed Over | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…a6a1backed Under | 53c | 1,018$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…b4a7backed Under | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…c560backed Under | 51c | 928$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 49c | 854.33$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 833.77$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…b245backed Over | 50c | 662$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 652.24$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 585.33$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 445.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.95 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 9c | 311.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 224.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f7…d243backed Under | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 162$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d313backed Under | 53c | 140.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…aa51backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 129.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 54c | 115.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 101.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Under | 53c | 87.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 52c | 82.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 45c | 77.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…0689backed Over | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…6c4abacked Over | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 62.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Heat vs. CavaliersHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.