NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f730c332298b24d5bcfae489e6c1b266aa4611cd9bc9530e5878357a83c5b06

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Cavaliers, Heat
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,428 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat	57c	6,875$3,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,956.25	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers	43c	6,009$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,584.03	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	43c	4,087$1,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.43	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ebd…ed53backed Cavaliers	46c	3,702$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,702.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5163…cb8abacked Heat	54c	3,702$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,702.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	53cpaid	+90.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat	58c	3,448$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.28	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	59c	2,969$1,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.44	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	43c	2,923$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.11	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Heat	57c	2,746$1,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.78	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Heat	54c	2,300$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.59	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Heat	58c	2,075$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873.66	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers	46c	1,646$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.16	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	43c	1,400$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers	41c	1,306$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.37	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	55c	1,245$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.42	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	43c	1,146$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.56	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Heat	55c	906.56$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.56	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat	55c	897.78$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Cavaliers	45c	888.89$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Heat	55c	877.04$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.55	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Heat	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Heat	58c	446.55$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.55	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers	42c	445$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.9	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	45c	439.07$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.05	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers	41c	418.97$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.24	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Cavaliers	44c	399.96$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.98	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e8…7cbfbacked Cavaliers	32c	299.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.29per pick	36cpaid	-84.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Heat	55c	293.08$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.88	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Cavaliers	45c	222$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers	45c	217.21$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.74	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Heat	62c	210.74$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.74	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	66c	205.09$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.25	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Cavaliers	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Heat	57c	200$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Heat	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x769d…827bbacked Cavaliers	45c	179$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9da…6d1cbacked Cavaliers	45c	179$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	57c	178.52$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.07	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b9…24a9backed Cavaliers	45c	172$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Heat	54c	167$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.62	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e94…3cc6backed Cavaliers	45c	156$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat	61c	154.22$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.77	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccc…cfb1backed Cavaliers	45c	147$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Cavaliers	37c	140$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eba…064dbacked Cavaliers	43c	135.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.48	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers	34c	133.43$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf7…d632backed Cavaliers	43c	131$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…5187backed Cavaliers	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Heat	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Cavaliers	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Cavaliers	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-6.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Cavaliers	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Cavaliers	34c	98.14$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.7	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Heat	56c	95.38$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.97	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	13c	94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Cavaliers	43c	93.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10fb…29bfbacked Heat	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf4…7780backed Heat	55c	83$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.35	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers	35c	79.6$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers	43c	77.2$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e0…bb12backed Heat	55c	77$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.65	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4505…303abacked Heat	55c	76$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5c…5b33backed Heat	55c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers	42c	71.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Cavaliers	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fe2…be37backed Heat	57c	67$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.81	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Heat	56c	62.48$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.49	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3961…2c6cbacked Heat	55c	62$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.9	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+78%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6cd…221cbacked Heat	55c	62$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb33…4a7cbacked Cavaliers	46c	60.57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Cavaliers	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7fe…aac1backed Heat	55c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Cavaliers	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x929f…9884backed Cavaliers	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Cavaliers	43c	55.52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	169	48.5%82 W · 87 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Heat	57c	54.39$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.39	206	50.5%104 W · 102 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Cavaliers	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…beb5backed Heat	55c	53$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbafe…bd4ebacked Heat	57c	52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.36	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	56c	50.23$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.12	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be6…5240backed Heat	55c	47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e57…ddc3backed Cavaliers	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5094…8049backed Heat	55c	44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Cavaliers	46c	44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Heat	57c	43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…aa32backed Heat	57c	41$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.63	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+52%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9b7…849dbacked Heat	55c	41$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.45	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed Heat	58c	40.61$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.06	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	43c	40.07$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Heat	55c	39.76$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.76	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…11f7backed Heat	55c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e11…e061backed Heat	57c	38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2330…bf86backed Heat	55c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ab…5770backed Heat	55c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2ed3backed Heat	57c	32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Cavaliers	36c	31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	492	47.2%232 W · 260 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Heat	54c	27.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5No won
Heat vs. CavaliersHeat won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Under won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Max Strus: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event