NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75831d24fabad4f6ff9dc932a177b5a611d769a704b4ee446eb57add7a8fd51

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Cavaliers
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,989,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,989,358 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Heat	44c	487,077$214,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272,736.28	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	56c	175,097$98,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,174.51	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Heat	43c	116,279$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,279.07	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Cavaliers	56c	113,636$63,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,636.16	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Cavaliers	56c	100,000$56,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,000	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	56c	91,730$51,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,433.54	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Cavaliers	58c	86,194$49,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,992.51	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Cavaliers	57c	80,000$45,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,600	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers	57c	73,698$42,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,008.02	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Heat	44c	63,947$28,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,810.24	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers	32c	63,151$19,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,944.81	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Cavaliers	49c	59,456$29,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,058.23	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd56…048fbacked Cavaliers	59c	59,123$34,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,748.64	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Cavaliers	56c	50,319$28,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,178.52	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Cavaliers	15c	50,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef9…b403backed Cavaliers	58c	48,323$28,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,028.97	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.34per pick	56cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Cavaliers	56c	41,085$23,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,007.75	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9725backed Cavaliers	17c	36,011$6,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,223.75	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	41c	30,342$12,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,752.14	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Cavaliers	32c	27,183$8,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,704.59	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers	31c	26,830$8,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,372.98	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Cavaliers	13c	26,673$3,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,576.46	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	38c	23,526$8,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,867.84	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Heat	42c	21,037$8,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,201.23	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	79c	20,483$16,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,263.27	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Cavaliers	58c	20,000$11,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,599.98	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fe…99bdbacked Heat	43c	20,000$8,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,399.9	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Cavaliers	16c	19,392$3,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,070.85	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	41c	18,829$7,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,109.26	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Heat	41c	18,700$7,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,981.79	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Cavaliers	59c	18,699$10,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,981.5	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Heat	44c	18,000$7,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,080	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Cavaliers	57c	17,997$10,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,258.57	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	37c	17,992$6,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,708.09	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Cavaliers	57c	17,544$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	30c	14,706$4,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,375.55	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	31c	14,553$4,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,548.17	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Cavaliers	56c	13,000$7,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,280	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Heat	40c	12,500$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,499.83	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cavaliers	1c	12,435$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.55	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Heat	42c	12,321$5,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,145.99	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Heat	42c	12,000$5,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,959.95	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Heat	42c	11,946$5,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,928.68	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Cavaliers	59c	11,251$6,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,586.04	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Heat	66c	11,226$7,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,765.56	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	63c	11,193$7,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,156.8	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7380…509fbacked Cavaliers	50c	10,972$5,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,536.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	65c	10,940$7,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,849.89	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	20c	10,676$2,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,135.35	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers	28c	10,588$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers	49c	10,466$5,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,117.92	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	42c	10,463$4,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,045.71	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Heat	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,900	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Cavaliers	56c	10,000$5,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,549.78	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Cavaliers	59c	9,988$5,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,842.98	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Heat	52c	9,668$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,667.63	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Heat	42c	9,420$3,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,463.6	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8413…a60abacked Cavaliers	66c	9,314$6,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,147.24	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	51cpaid	+84.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Heat	42c	8,888$3,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,155.04	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a8e…3f73backed Cavaliers	66c	8,299$5,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,477.33	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	51cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x501e…2ecdbacked Cavaliers	66c	8,293$5,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,473.37	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.28per pick	50cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat	42c	8,258$3,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,823.73	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Cavaliers	56c	8,000$4,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,480	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Cavaliers	56c	7,793$4,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,364.18	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	56c	7,248$4,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,058.83	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…8b3dbacked Heat	42c	7,176$3,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,162.19	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76e0…a0ccbacked Heat	42c	7,143$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,142.86	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb838…d713backed Heat	42c	7,143$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,142.86	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+54%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Cavaliers	0c	7,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Heat	42c	7,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,059.99	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Heat	42c	6,959$2,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,061.92	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e94…7f1ebacked Cavaliers	13c	6,800$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Heat	42c	6,791$2,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,968.86	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Heat	43c	6,687$2,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,811.58	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Cavaliers	17c	6,666$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.3	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers	15c	6,624$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.56	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	55c	6,488$3,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,593.42	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Cavaliers	25c	6,448$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.67	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Cavaliers	17c	6,406$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.79	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Heat	44c	6,395$2,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,581.03	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Heat	41c	6,228$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,678.66	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Heat	42c	6,169$2,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,577.95	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cavaliers	55c	6,024$3,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,313.12	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Cavaliers	59c	6,000$3,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,520	200	48%96 W · 104 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cf…55d3backed Cavaliers	20c	5,990$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.97	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat	43c	5,929$2,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,379.54	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Cavaliers	45c	5,904$2,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,683.57	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed Cavaliers	17c	5,849$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	74	59.5%44 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Heat	44c	5,443$2,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,048.08	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	42c	5,279$2,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.21	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cavaliers	28c	5,029$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.42	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Heat	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.99	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Heat	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.96	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers	58c	4,990$2,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,894.2	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Cavaliers	51c	4,794$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440.1	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Heat	42c	4,762$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,761.9	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers	0c	4,717$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…8a43backed Heat	43c	4,700$2,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,678.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked Heat	69c	4,620$3,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416.8	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Heat	44c	4,213$1,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,359.38	852	48.9%417 W · 435 L	+26.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Cavaliersthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5No won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Under won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Max Strus: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Heat won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event