NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82311677c99ed1446012b4fd760aafaa917dd958ba00db2ec06f0a793fa2d3a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,651 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 139,098$70,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,939.84 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Cavaliers | 51c | 102,460$52,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,254.51 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 49c | 86,310$42,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,053.68 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 48,472$24,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,440.93 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 45,164$22,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,705.32 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 50c | 20,910$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,455.16 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Heat | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 19,644$9,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 50c | 19,219$9,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,666.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…d713backed Heat | 49c | 18,368$9,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,286.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat | 49c | 17,406$8,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,857.12 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Heat | 49c | 16,908$8,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,623.28 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Heat | 49c | 16,824$8,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.24 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Heat | 49c | 16,547$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Cavaliers | 50c | 16,470$8,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,235.03 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Heat | 50c | 15,502$7,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750.97 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 51c | 11,679$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.15 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Heat | 49c | 11,065$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,643.31 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Heat | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 9,069$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Heat | 49c | 8,774$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.99 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…8b3dbacked Heat | 49c | 8,404$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Heat | 50c | 8,107$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,975$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.34 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Heat | 49c | 7,680$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.59 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 50c | 7,532$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Heat | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Heat | 49c | 6,878$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.55 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…dc5dbacked Heat | 49c | 5,670$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…eb97backed Heat | 50c | 5,618$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…9565backed Heat | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Heat | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.12 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…c8fcbacked Heat | 49c | 4,901$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Heat | 49c | 4,637$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.73 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 51c | 4,558$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 50c | 4,502$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Heat | 49c | 4,041$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.22 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,034$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Heat | 49c | 3,847$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.94 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,177$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.31 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Heat | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Heat | 49c | 2,812$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.24 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…2027backed Heat | 50c | 2,804$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 50c | 2,726$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Heat | 49c | 2,579$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.28 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,446$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.46 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Heat | 49c | 2,386$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.71 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Heat | 49c | 2,262$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.43 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Heat | 49c | 2,192$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.84 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,655$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.4 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 35c | 1,502$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,422$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Heat | 50c | 1,339$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.48 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Heat | 49c | 1,288$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.88 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Heat | 49c | 1,260$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.6 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Heat | 49c | 1,240$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.4 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,127$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Heat | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Heat | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Heat | 49c | 991.67$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.75 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Heat | 63c | 793.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.72 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Heat | 49c | 614.65$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.47 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Heat | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Heat | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Cavaliers | 51c | 589.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Heat | 51c | 538.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.86 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 50c | 527.18$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Heat | 50c | 522.76$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Heat | 51c | 501.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…768abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 491.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 37c | 480.55$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cavaliers | 22c | 478.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 48c | 447.31$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Heat | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Heat | 49c | 414.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Heat | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Heat | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 388.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 22c | 384$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Heat | 50c | 354.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cavaliers | 49c | 267.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Heat | 51c | 264.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 35c | 260.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Heat | 50c | 245.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 50c | 224.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Heat vs. CavaliersHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.