NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1174cfd58d69a9a48e0fa55f756428d00fec2147b755e8f109b27da6de2bce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,518 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under | 49c | 61,500$30,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,365 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…6507backed Over | 51c | 31,627$16,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,129.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…6f15backed Over | 51c | 29,692$15,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,142.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 29,126$15,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,145.5 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…dc4abacked Under | 49c | 25,928$12,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,223.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 25,000$12,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,574.1 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 20c | 24,393$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…22e6backed Under | 49c | 22,471$11,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,460.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…ae75backed Over | 51c | 20,512$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 18,366$9,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,366.66 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a3…dc96backed Under | 49c | 17,518$8,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,934.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…6297backed Under | 49c | 16,935$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,636.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…715fbacked Over | 51c | 16,621$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,476.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 15,614$8,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,119.22 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a5…484abacked Under | 49c | 14,003$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34a…8da9backed Over | 51c | 13,310$6,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,788.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…8f55backed Under | 49c | 12,071$5,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,156.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…f6cdbacked Over | 51c | 11,543$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 49c | 10,033$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.83 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 8,482$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.62 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83e…2be4backed Over | 51c | 8,205$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 48c | 7,765$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.48 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 48c | 7,708$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.33 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 7,593$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 7,172$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.83 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 6,479$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…515bbacked Under | 49c | 4,945$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…ccddbacked Under | 49c | 4,917$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…b4f2backed Over | 51c | 4,457$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed60…ad42backed Over | 51c | 4,437$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…f5c8backed Under | 49c | 4,362$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…1168backed Over | 51c | 4,342$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…7d9dbacked Under | 49c | 4,112$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 51c | 3,937$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…0d63backed Over | 51c | 3,622$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Under | 49c | 3,552$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 3,176$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…9e2cbacked Under | 49c | 2,925$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…af51backed Under | 49c | 2,910$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…95a2backed Over | 51c | 2,765$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…d909backed Over | 51c | 2,702$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…22b2backed Over | 51c | 2,690$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c41…f9bebacked Over | 51c | 2,649$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…1b59backed Under | 49c | 2,616$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…0f46backed Over | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…1fa3backed Under | 49c | 2,486$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…b86abacked Under | 49c | 2,485$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e6…970abacked Under | 49c | 2,477$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…cb8dbacked Over | 51c | 2,466$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 50c | 2,446$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa4…87c1backed Over | 51c | 2,437$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Under | 50c | 2,415$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 51c | 2,392$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.7 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…125dbacked Under | 49c | 2,351$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4ba6backed Under | 49c | 2,347$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…7d98backed Over | 51c | 2,325$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…ff45backed Under | 49c | 2,304$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…75cbbacked Over | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813b…7d75backed Over | 51c | 2,294$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8e94backed Over | 51c | 2,292$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…6e8cbacked Under | 49c | 2,285$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 2,255$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…c48dbacked Under | 49c | 2,253$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f2dfbacked Over | 51c | 2,249$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 2,237$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…c05fbacked Over | 51c | 2,210$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…ef67backed Under | 49c | 2,192$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…3cf9backed Over | 51c | 2,188$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…5d78backed Over | 51c | 2,167$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…32bcbacked Under | 49c | 2,153$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…1455backed Under | 49c | 2,146$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc583…ce45backed Under | 49c | 2,129$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…0255backed Under | 49c | 2,119$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3b2bbacked Under | 49c | 2,113$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…bababacked Under | 49c | 2,109$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…49f4backed Under | 49c | 2,104$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cd…83e4backed Over | 51c | 2,102$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…b429backed Under | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 41cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…c5eabacked Under | 49c | 2,067$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…9621backed Over | 51c | 2,059$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…e801backed Under | 49c | 2,056$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…1721backed Under | 49c | 2,038$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f537backed Under | 49c | 2,014$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 2,009$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a5…4b72backed Over | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…6d5abacked Under | 49c | 1,979$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…c8a0backed Over | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…080cbacked Over | 51c | 1,977$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…add7backed Over | 51c | 1,977$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e95…3040backed Under | 49c | 1,964$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.64 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf4ebacked Under | 49c | 1,936$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…e391backed Over | 51c | 1,927$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c516backed Over | 51c | 1,908$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…fdcabacked Over | 51c | 1,874$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…4004backed Over | 51c | 1,831$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…44c4backed Over | 51c | 1,830$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…f2efbacked Over | 51c | 1,815$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Heat vs. CavaliersHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.