Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9816fd2da871e7d3bb04345b7bfb8b59f3874a19e883a09649120d2b5a62ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,870 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 69c | 72,616$49,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,637.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 18,994$6,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410.92 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked No | 31c | 15,435$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 14,033$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.01 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 6,871$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.12 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 5,821$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.95 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed No | 31c | 4,847$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 15c | 3,042$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.27 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Yes | 69c | 2,905$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed No | 31c | 2,145$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 61c | 1,744$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.82 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 22c | 1,741$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350c…73d5backed Yes | 70c | 1,722$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…be67backed No | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 70c | 1,336$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 39c | 1,300$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 1,141$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 1,126$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 11c | 1,100$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 28c | 893$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 37c | 845.5$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 69c | 827.98$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 808.81$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed No | 57c | 784.65$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 32c | 751.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.93 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 701.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 651.07$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 69c | 630.4$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 30c | 553.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 70c | 538.82$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 479.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 434.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 432.17$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 68c | 395.43$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 375$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 30c | 362.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 31c | 359.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 31c | 357.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 29c | 338.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 31c | 312.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 28c | 284.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 76c | 280.66$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 255$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Yes | 57c | 254.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 196.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 22c | 193.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 38c | 185.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 183.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 35c | 175.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 31c | 153.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 68c | 152$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 40c | 152$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 46c | 150.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 32c | 150.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 146$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 145.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 141.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed No | 59c | 133.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 31c | 131.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 50c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 58c | 118.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 31c | 116.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 69c | 106.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 24c | 105.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 12c | 93.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 34c | 87.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed No | 18c | 78.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 67c | 70.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes | 66c | 70.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Yes | 42c | 69.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 44c | 65.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 65.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.