Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59e099b83dd255929931636706a1dde23f1d7f3f22b7d4604ff1ae5372b5ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 14c | 13,238$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 13,119$10,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.76 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,313$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 5,379$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.38 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Yes | 14c | 3,619$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 30c | 2,897$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…2281backed Yes | 14c | 2,100$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 39c | 1,781$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 5c | 1,541$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,334$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 1,010$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 13c | 962.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked No | 70c | 469.59$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 5c | 381.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 23c | 368$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 75c | 333.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 316.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Yes | 32c | 312.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 25c | 291.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 33c | 284.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…3f96backed Yes | 38c | 252.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 36c | 204$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 13c | 198$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 14c | 190.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 149.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 33c | 142.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked No | 69c | 142.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 133.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 125.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed No | 65c | 121.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 25c | 119.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 18c | 100.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 13c | 89.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked No | 72c | 66.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 35c | 45.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 44.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 41.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 28.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 70c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…e2afbacked No | 69c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 64c | 16.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked No | 62c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.