TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88e4…e2af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$31.01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$13.15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$31.63
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$19.64
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$29.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$7.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.86
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+373.1%+$73.09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$10.55
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.37
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.23
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$14.34
Spread: Hornets (-18.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$54.8
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$13.22
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$3.62
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$21.29
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$34.03
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$12.42
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$18.69
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$14.42
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.75
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$42.75
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$19.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$6.31
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$4.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.