TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,023,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,023,546 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over42c483,454$201,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,219.332450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under58c147,116$85,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,206.2333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under58c113,220$65,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,684.57160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under58c110,000$63,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,2006347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under53c51,130$26,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,217.174553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over42c48,296$20,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,284.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under59c42,226$24,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,312.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c40,826$24,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,232.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under58c15,983$9,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.0616045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over42c13,460$5,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,601.029137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c12,562$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,187.1734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under58c8,959$5,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under58c7,503$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,151.156659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over42c7,242$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.832650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over43c5,764$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.5515244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c5,428$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.569652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over43c4,665$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.8411346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c4,270$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.5993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under59c3,900$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.987560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over43c3,506$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.5914752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under60c3,305$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.132864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under72c2,969$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.411553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under59c2,947$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.442161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c2,532$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.511,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over43c2,074$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under67c2,039$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over42c1,937$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.332944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under59c1,903$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1319542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under58c1,700$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.7440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under60c1,275$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.832948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over41c1,272$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.363663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under59c1,241$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.511150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over41c1,200$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.39922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-65.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under60c991.6$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6417744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over40c962.37$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8712049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Over37c694.79$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under59c694.07$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.577558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over28c674.27$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.676028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over43c613.37$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.754654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Under60c591.51$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.63366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under60c558.15$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c506.88$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.893348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under59c498.74$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.487646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over43c471.71$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over41c432.31$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over27c367.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3113636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over42c362.22$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over42c340.97$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over43c322.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.741952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over39c305.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over31c299.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9314748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under60c294.39$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over42c289$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.382050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over39c288.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.289561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c266.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.879056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c261.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1813826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over39c256.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.167051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c254.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3218125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under78c254.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under65c248.77$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0713946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over42c236.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.153351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over43c230.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.141553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over43c230.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.144942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under59c222.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.564557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over42c218.59$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c216.46$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0613142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under59c198.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.314252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Over42c195.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under59c194.95$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.933268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over45c174.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.492352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under60c166.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under64c165.49$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.08955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over42c164.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over11c163.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under71c155.1$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Under59c154.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+106.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under65c152.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.421258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over41c138.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.916350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over41c128.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under70c126.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over38c124.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7314553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…9723backed Under60c122.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over41c120.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c117$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under79c114.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.492133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under70c113.45$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0310147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under60c110.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.296100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Over54c110.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over47c105.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5626744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb6…ef3abacked Under64c104.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+50.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under59c101.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under59c101.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4715259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over39c100.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.171838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.