Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa44b7db6f2730ccd56d9124593c9d7f19e14b1ccf8a1e7c410fbf3637eda94ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Sassuolo Calcioof Juventus FC, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,834 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Juventus FC | 22c | 1,237$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 77c | 999.61$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Juventus FC | 32c | 322.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 68c | 208.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 68c | 193.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 144$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 71c | 122.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Juventus FC | 31c | 64.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 49.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Juventus FC | 32c | 45.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Juventus FC | 32c | 40.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 29.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Juventus FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)this page
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.