Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x737fd501971ff73ee686f4f28ce2833a4402409e8b8704edae5d81b323d72694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 2,582$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 80c | 1,596$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 70c | 1,418$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 22c | 1,250$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…b8f7backed Over | 18c | 780.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 500.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 79c | 299.4$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 78c | 281.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 272.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 69c | 270.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…d6cabacked Under | 78c | 254.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 78c | 191.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 180.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 78c | 143.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Under | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 12c | 127.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 123.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 69c | 107.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 18c | 89.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 77.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 20c | 62.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…d1a4backed Under | 80c | 48.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 76c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…0a41backed Under | 78c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.