TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,729 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c20,163$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,087.582,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over64c13,924$8,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,909.8121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c9,019$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,896.113129%9 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+275.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under36c7,609$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,852.2934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c7,000$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,55015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under39c6,789$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,147.84463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c5,305$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.521,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over64c4,901$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.619137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over11c3,091$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.041421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under36c2,719$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.6533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c2,345$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.9691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under52c2,206$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c2,145$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.37358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under43c2,110$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over54c1,989$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.861717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over62c1,855$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.461560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over53c1,595$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.733158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Under1c1,499$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.99520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+1,900%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,306$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.6993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c1,085$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over57c1,044$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.851915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over62c909.33$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.281566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over57c869.67$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.718033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Over59c840.28$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under42c837.84$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.474748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c835.57$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Under76c790.03$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over63c757.55$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.253663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under37c699.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.987558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c654.03$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.959937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over57c644.42$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.322152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over36c619.81$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.946028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c511.71$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.348757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over60c500$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over60c493.78$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c450.72$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Over50c422.53$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.271553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over57c413.02$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c381.64$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0117058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over47c377.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.325046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Under60c344.01$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.62941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over59c337.79$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x545f…66dbbacked Under40c329.97$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over10c311.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.872725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over61c282.48$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over41c268.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7218125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over74c268.45$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.652240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over29c265$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.554535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under17c264.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.511533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under38c260.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.815253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over41c243.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.16119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over63c236.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.784963.3%31 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under43c230.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.422470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under42c217.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.823244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over50c212.13$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c208.73$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9110759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over64c208.66$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.544348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over63c198.37$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.978552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1313142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Over64c193.74$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.996262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over63c186.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.425862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under38c183.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.753243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c181.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c174.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over63c173.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.12825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over64c170.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1110456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under30c162.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.493438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over64c154.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.193026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over58c151.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under50c146.79$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c146.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9765254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over63c142.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.963748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under76c141.73$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.449440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0888…72acbacked Over69c138.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under63c135.32$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.628445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over77c127.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over60c126.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-65.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over62c124.72$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3314249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over49c117.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.493847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over74c107.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4715253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c106.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c105.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4715648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over65c99.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.484660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Under60c99.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.66757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over56c99.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under44c99.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.524062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over63c97.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.491650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over61c97.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over55c97.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.621838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under68c94.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.