TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,549 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over52c35,732$18,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,579.822860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over49c29,279$14,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,346.4914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c23,342$11,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,437.568145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c19,134$9,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,673.42,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c15,314$7,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50417643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c12,500$6,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,124.9936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under48c11,324$5,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.322650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over50c10,105$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.3315556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over49c8,471$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150.9121646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c8,448$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.2412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c7,108$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.818744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c3,039$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.991,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over48c2,736$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.073554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under52c2,320$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.6713343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c2,263$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.668148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over47c2,145$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.7814346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.988946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c1,983$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.766342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80015858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7357643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under52c1,048$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9322043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c1,043$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.551,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c995.52$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c991.26$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4642246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Under51c953.9$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.417938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c895.79$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.9435147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c742.85$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.711,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under51c662.16$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.464353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c630.33$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.162,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under48c594.76$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.275062%31 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under45c553.68$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5313141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under51c512.14$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9522954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25091848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Under51c468.42$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.524153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c453.79$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over49c411.76$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.765356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over49c411.76$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7616341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under49c409.43$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Over49c403.92$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.923748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under51c400.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.192245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under51c396.5$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.293548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under51c383.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over50c366.66$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.335740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Under51c350.9$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.942352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c341.54$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Under51c332.07$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.713141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under51c332.07$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.716261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Under50c319.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.59850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under51c311.25$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.513348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under51c306.39$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.388361.4%51 W · 32 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under51c272.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x768c…dc52backed Under50c251.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.891050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Over49c247.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over45c246.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.114143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under51c233.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2930853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c231.19$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.614447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under52c221.31$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.754052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked Under51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1350548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Under52c194.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.595644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.53447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c179.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under48c172.44$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6710458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c170.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9818556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c169.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9922047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under51c166.53$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.65660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Under51c166.53$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.63754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under51c166.53$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.67354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under51c166.53$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.64459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under52c159.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2615252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under51c156.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.873056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under52c156.62$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1830152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c156.52$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5617258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Under52c151.66$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.154454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over49c148.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.864355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over49c146.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.896040%24 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under52c146.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.779050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Under50c134.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.534065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under52c129.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.714148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under51c120.4$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210048%48 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under52c100.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.484146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under51c99.37$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.692882.1%23 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+48.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over53c98.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.075149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under62c94.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.041872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c91.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9140755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Under52c84.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under51c82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1812254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695c…85ddbacked Under52c79.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under52c78.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.594055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10fb…29bfbacked Under51c77.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under65c64.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.64562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Under52c57.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.452763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.