Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a502d594b5e12c102d7cbef7a3a87e343118a062bce01a983ac3432be0ccfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,549 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over | 52c | 35,732$18,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,579.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 49c | 29,279$14,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,346.49 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 23,342$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,437.56 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 19,134$9,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,673.4 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 15,314$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,504 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.99 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 48c | 11,324$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 10,105$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.33 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 49c | 8,471$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.91 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,448$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 7,108$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.8 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 3,039$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.99 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Over | 48c | 2,736$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.07 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 52c | 2,320$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.67 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 50c | 2,263$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.66 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 47c | 2,145$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.78 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Over | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.98 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 1,983$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.76 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 52c | 1,048$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.93 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.55 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 995.52$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.8 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Under | 51c | 953.9$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.41 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 895.79$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 742.85$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.71 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Under | 51c | 662.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.46 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 630.33$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.16 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Under | 48c | 594.76$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 45c | 553.68$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.53 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 51c | 512.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 51c | 468.42$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 453.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 49c | 411.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 49c | 411.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 409.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed Over | 49c | 403.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 51c | 400.39$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 51c | 396.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Under | 51c | 383.71$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 50c | 366.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Under | 51c | 350.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 341.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 51c | 332.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 51c | 332.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Under | 50c | 319.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under | 51c | 311.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 51c | 306.39$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 51c | 272.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…dc52backed Under | 50c | 251.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Over | 49c | 247.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over | 45c | 246.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 233.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 231.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 52c | 221.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Under | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 52c | 194.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 179.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 48c | 172.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 50c | 170.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 169.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 51c | 166.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Under | 51c | 166.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 51c | 166.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Under | 51c | 166.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 52c | 159.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 51c | 156.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 156.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 156.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 52c | 151.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 49c | 148.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 49c | 146.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 146.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 134.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 129.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 51c | 120.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 100.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 51c | 99.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over | 53c | 98.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 62c | 94.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 91.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…cc57backed Under | 52c | 84.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked Under | 52c | 79.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 52c | 78.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…29bfbacked Under | 51c | 77.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 65c | 64.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Under | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.