Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aef6b69237502d9bf6ffa20f5b3f4e71e36d6f3e774522d98765259c1f781d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 50c | 1,302$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 1,021$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.49 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 287.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 173.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 59c | 168.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…2c9dbacked Over | 50c | 112.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 37.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.