Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cef7347abfc8e738085ab08164db58273363c5fcf132272e3b3ff0500ed2b5a

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, TCU Horned Frogs
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $467,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,007 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	105,628$49,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,564.16	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	78,648$35,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,806.27	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Duke Blue Devils	53c	61,678$32,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,988.68	177	42.9%76 W · 101 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Duke Blue Devils	55c	32,868$17,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,952.94	155	56.1%87 W · 68 L	+15.8wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils	53c	30,099$15,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,296.11	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Duke Blue Devils	54c	26,421$14,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,153.62	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Duke Blue Devils	54c	23,495$12,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,846.8	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	19,937$9,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,171.17	176	43.8%77 W · 99 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Duke Blue Devils	52c	18,539$9,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,848.26	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Duke Blue Devils	54c	15,325$8,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,980.79	334	38.9%130 W · 204 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Duke Blue Devils	51c	14,936$7,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,318.86	1,397	52.7%736 W · 661 L	+26.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Duke Blue Devils	54c	13,152$7,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,050.47	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed TCU Horned Frogs	49c	9,103$4,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,460.64	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Duke Blue Devils	51c	7,490$3,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,695.25	616	52.8%325 W · 291 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed TCU Horned Frogs	49c	6,000$2,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,931.41	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed TCU Horned Frogs	23c	5,928$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.92	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	5,625$2,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,645.06	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed TCU Horned Frogs	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.99	185	48.6%90 W · 95 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed TCU Horned Frogs	48c	4,148$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,991.2	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked TCU Horned Frogs	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,840	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked TCU Horned Frogs	48c	3,869$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,857.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Duke Blue Devils	52c	3,822$1,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.43	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Duke Blue Devils	52c	3,251$1,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.48	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed TCU Horned Frogs	48c	2,991$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.81	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	2,875$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.04	277	55.2%153 W · 124 L	+19.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Duke Blue Devils	52c	2,750$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked TCU Horned Frogs	49c	2,646$1,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.5	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils	55c	2,500$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.95	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Duke Blue Devils	52c	2,478$1,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.52	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	2,222$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.14	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	2,181$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.99	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Duke Blue Devils	53c	2,119$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.25	505	48.9%247 W · 258 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed TCU Horned Frogs	48c	2,074$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.62	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Duke Blue Devils	52c	2,032$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.22	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Duke Blue Devils	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	163	41.7%68 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed TCU Horned Frogs	51c	1,996$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.07	223	49.3%110 W · 113 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Duke Blue Devils	53c	1,870$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.06	572	48.1%275 W · 297 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…e313backed Duke Blue Devils	54c	1,836$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.45	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+5.3wins	+0.31per pick	51cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked TCU Horned Frogs	49c	1,737$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.11	143	46.9%67 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	1,497$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.65	351	47.6%167 W · 184 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	1,456$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.3	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed TCU Horned Frogs	45c	1,415$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.95	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Duke Blue Devils	55c	1,352$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.32	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed TCU Horned Frogs	49c	1,288$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.1	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Duke Blue Devils	50c	1,197$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.68	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked TCU Horned Frogs	44c	1,183$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.8	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked TCU Horned Frogs	48c	1,100$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.01	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Duke Blue Devils	55c	1,081$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.66	557	49.2%274 W · 283 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed TCU Horned Frogs	49c	1,011$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Duke Blue Devils	53c	1,009$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.29	220	43.2%95 W · 125 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x708f…b2fabacked TCU Horned Frogs	52c	1,009$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Duke Blue Devils	47c	1,005$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.65	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131c…cab1backed Duke Blue Devils	49c	1,005$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Duke Blue Devils	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed TCU Horned Frogs	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked TCU Horned Frogs	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked TCU Horned Frogs	37c	999.98$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.99	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Duke Blue Devils	54c	999.96$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.98	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed TCU Horned Frogs	48c	973.82$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.44	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Duke Blue Devils	54c	917.88$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.22	162	53.1%86 W · 76 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked TCU Horned Frogs	48c	881.2$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.47	462	46.5%215 W · 247 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Duke Blue Devils	47c	777.29$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.68	528	43.6%230 W · 298 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	745.98$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.09	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Duke Blue Devils	54c	700$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	660.71$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.3	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Duke Blue Devils	48c	651.07$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.23	1,234	44.8%553 W · 681 L	-32.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	646.5$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.39	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed TCU Horned Frogs	48c	619.54$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.38	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	601.71$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.8	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked TCU Horned Frogs	46c	599.98$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.99	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	590.55$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.56	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	587.52$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.48	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed TCU Horned Frogs	50c	560.44$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.52	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa1…e6fdbacked TCU Horned Frogs	61c	541.99$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.29	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	539.26$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.45	407	55.8%227 W · 180 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	531.33$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.72	229	54.1%124 W · 105 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	524.65$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.11	172	58.7%101 W · 71 L	+14.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Duke Blue Devils	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Duke Blue Devils	52c	499.98$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.99	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Duke Blue Devils	55c	495.67$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.05	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Duke Blue Devils	53c	467.59$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.77	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	457.57$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.06	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked TCU Horned Frogs	47c	437.16$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.52	141	48.9%69 W · 72 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed TCU Horned Frogs	61c	406.69$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.92	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed TCU Horned Frogs	49c	404.59$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.25	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+7.9wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Duke Blue Devils	49c	404.43$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.26	780	52.2%407 W · 373 L	+19.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Duke Blue Devils	54c	380.16$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.87	922	46%424 W · 498 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	354.7$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.03	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+9.3wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	352.37$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.38	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Duke Blue Devils	53c	350$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.5	1,152	48.9%563 W · 589 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked TCU Horned Frogs	46c	342.99$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.78	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked TCU Horned Frogs	49c	335.81$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.55	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	332.19$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.81	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed TCU Horned Frogs	49c	325.13$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.31	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed TCU Horned Frogs	46c	323.25$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.7	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	321.85$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.27	114	56.1%64 W · 50 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked TCU Horned Frogs	48c	310.61$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.09	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Duke Blue Devils	54c	309.96$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.44	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Duke Blue Devils	54c	309.52$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.54	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed TCU Horned Frogs	47c	302.34$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.1	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)this page
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5Under won
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Under won
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event