Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7995ec09c91887c5970983a48145c6cacb633adfc34d0966a946e9c76ea5fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,351,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351,105 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 366,755$179,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,825.45 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 91,386$46,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,971.39 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 63,420$32,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,978.54 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 54,390$27,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,409.7 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 22,289$11,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,128.83 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 22,284$11,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,401.2 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 20,160$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 17,943$9,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,264.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 10,175$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.41 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 9,976$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 9,576$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.3 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 7,897$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.27 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 7,873$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.61 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 7,583$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 7,415$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.38 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 4,956$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.9 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 4,650$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 4,111$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.26 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 4,064$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.62 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 3,880$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.88 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 3,813$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 2,136$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.69 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 1,983$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.08 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 1,929$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.26 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 1,711$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.55 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 1,631$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 1,329$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.36 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 1,235$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 1,216$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.33 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 1,151$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.76 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 1,045$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.45 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.86 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 1,010$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.06 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 991.53$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 977.15$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.25 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 953.14$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 935.17$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 826.97$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 768$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 695.58$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 693.88$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 645.16$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.85 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…8384backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 607.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 601.69$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.86 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 586.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…5e0cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 567.32$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 495.63$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 489.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 460.93$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 448.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 446.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 429.03$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…6e97backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 406.7$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…a9eebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 396.51$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 396.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 384.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 334.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 321.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…1401backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 315.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 314$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…ad6bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 297.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 277.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 36c | 275.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 237.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 45c | 220.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 206.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 195.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 193.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 186.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 161.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 161.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 161.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 161.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 154.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…a0bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 140.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 140.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 135.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 127.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 125.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 120.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 116.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.