Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e2f9521edcf23b556d6f87478b5fb762a601bd94c83c46cb26dc53699d0348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $525,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 63,258$32,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,558.86 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over | 54c | 39,232$21,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,185.11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 37,223$18,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,971.36 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 47c | 37,153$17,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,862.74 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 32,464$15,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,083.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 18,669$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,724.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 17,944$8,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,171.28 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 15,671$7,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,994.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 15,274$8,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,309.55 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 51c | 14,951$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,625.09 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 47c | 13,910$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,372.3 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 10,133$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 53c | 9,913$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.79 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Over | 52c | 8,017$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 49c | 7,034$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.43 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.1 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Over | 50c | 4,956$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 4,444$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.75 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 4,311$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 46c | 4,310$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…450fbacked Under | 48c | 3,618$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 48c | 3,293$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.41 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 3,034$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.57 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 49c | 2,997$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.23 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Over | 51c | 2,375$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Under | 49c | 2,028$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.81 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 47c | 1,815$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.78 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 48c | 1,717$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.61 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 53c | 1,601$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.85 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Under | 49c | 1,487$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.31 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 53c | 1,414$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 1,397$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.37 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…dbaebacked Under | 47c | 1,350$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 48c | 1,167$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.45 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Over | 9c | 1,100$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 3c | 1,063$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…b225backed Under | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…318bbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…d180backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Over | 54c | 991.31$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Under | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 48c | 991.04$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.34 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under | 49c | 979.78$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.77 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Over | 52c | 978.4$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.77 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Over | 52c | 968.4$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.57 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 52c | 961.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Over | 8c | 900$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Over | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…7333backed Over | 51c | 835.91$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.31 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 43c | 833.92$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.25 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Over | 51c | 823$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.73 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 789.37$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.26 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 764.74$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.25 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 48c | 725.61$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.31 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 704.36$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.87 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Over | 13c | 700$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Under | 48c | 660.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…4dafbacked Under | 50c | 622.1$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 581.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.81 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…0658backed Over | 50c | 512.74$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…9afbbacked Over | 6c | 499.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Over | 15c | 450$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Over | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 448.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.32 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 48c | 440.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 8c | 423.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Over | 51c | 403.11$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Over | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Over | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Over | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 395$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.35 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 26c | 393.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 392.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 382.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.45 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Over | 54c | 367.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Over | 54c | 367.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 323.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 46c | 323.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 319.12$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 68c | 315.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.