TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$449,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$525,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Over51c63,258$32,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,558.8644452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over54c39,232$21,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,185.112860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c37,223$18,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,971.3624451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c37,153$17,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,862.748148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c32,464$15,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,083.342,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20060949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c18,669$8,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,724.6412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c17,944$8,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,171.2825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c15,671$7,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,994.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over54c15,274$8,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,309.5533438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c14,951$7,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,625.0912054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under47c13,910$6,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,372.38145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c10,133$5,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,452.81,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9710745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over53c9,913$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.7930139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over52c8,017$4,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,168.661338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Under49c7,034$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.4315453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under49c5,306$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.114346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Over50c4,956$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under46c4,444$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.752,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c4,311$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.775,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under46c4,310$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.412445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Under48c3,618$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under48c3,293$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.4114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c3,034$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.5721248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under49c2,997$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.2313343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Over51c2,375$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.241030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under49c2,028$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.818444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9734746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under47c1,815$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.7818556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under48c1,717$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.6116341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over53c1,601$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.8511048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under49c1,487$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.315062%31 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over53c1,414$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.272055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over52c1,397$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3718548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a6…dbaebacked Under47c1,350$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under48c1,167$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.4510443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Over9c1,100$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9490%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over3c1,063$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.89160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa97…b225backed Under47c1,055$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa957…318bbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaf7…d180backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Over54c991.31$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.312050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Under48c991.26$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.461060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under48c991.26$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4610451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under48c991.04$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3411542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under49c979.78$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.777643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over52c978.4$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.7713343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Over52c968.4$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.575341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over52c961.52$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.994035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over8c900$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7660%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Over3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Over51c835.91$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.313138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under43c833.92$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2513141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over51c823$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.734337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c789.37$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2655749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c764.74$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.251,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under48c725.61$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.314355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c704.36$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8750548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37116147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Over13c700$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under48c660.84$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.643050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…4dafbacked Under50c622.1$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c581.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.811,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e79…0658backed Over50c512.74$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.732532%8 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Over7c500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f3…9afbbacked Over6c499.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Over15c450$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over6c450$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272010%2 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c448.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.321,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under48c440.58$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0222250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over8c423.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4719958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Over51c403.11$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.592343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Over20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24de…53e7backed Over12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Over3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c395$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3517643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under26c393.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.524652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over53c392.44$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.998845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under48c382.86$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96f…d46bbacked Over54c367.48$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.262548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Over54c367.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.263946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c323.93$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6529650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under46c323.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5627045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c319.12$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7939454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under68c315.82$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.222,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.