Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65933c93527508665229e5d49cd68907731f92e46f02672b02160504f4d111f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof TCU Horned Frogs, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,575,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,575,291 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 1,821,775$236,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,830.79 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 1,000,000$130,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,000 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 133,332$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 0c | 99,328$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed TCU Horned Frogs | 9c | 82,810$7,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,491.89 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 80,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed TCU Horned Frogs | 11c | 76,204$8,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,490.79 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 75,415$16,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,244.62 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 69,671$11,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,147.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed TCU Horned Frogs | 10c | 59,476$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.81 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 10c | 46,908$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.27 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 45,701$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 45,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 0c | 43,770$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 39,895$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.44 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…0425backed TCU Horned Frogs | 7c | 39,227$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 30,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 30,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 25,333$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.55 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 22,038$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.64 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 22,000$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed TCU Horned Frogs | 0c | 21,705$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 20,284$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.64 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…3d37backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 20,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 0c | 19,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…1d82backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 17,500$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 16,334$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…d454backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 16,330$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 15,201$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.43 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…7f92backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 14,753$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 12,259$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.13 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 11,976$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 11,734$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.93 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 11,491$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.71 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed TCU Horned Frogs | 0c | 11,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 5c | 10,790$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.95 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 9,960$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 8,985$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 8,743$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…9eebbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 8,087$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…9552backed TCU Horned Frogs | 0c | 8,020$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 7,662$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.04 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 7,610$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.98 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 7,554$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.92 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 7,216$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.19 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 6,678$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 6,640$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.13 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 6,520$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 6,241$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 5,832$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.13 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 5,556$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.98 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 5,389$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.52 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 5,189$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.65 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 9c | 5,125$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 5,076$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.16 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 5,010$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.24 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…1045backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 4,982$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 4,979$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.05 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 4,976$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed TCU Horned Frogs | 11c | 4,969$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 4,943$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.56 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…ea99backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 4,865$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 4,829$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.82 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…cad9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 4,644$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 4,615$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ec…3db5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 3c | 4,495$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 4,318$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.65 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 4,190$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.69 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…ab8abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 2c | 4,164$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TCU Horned Frogs | 8c | 4,125$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 4,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…6bc6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 3,850$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 3,844$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…d7cebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 2c | 3,589$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 3,509$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.81 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…7c3cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 7c | 3,421$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 3,370$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 3,287$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.3 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 11c | 3,144$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 10c | 3,115$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed TCU Horned Frogs | 10c | 3,054$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…781ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 2,993$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…5ba9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 2,853$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd481…cdcbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 7c | 2,851$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.