Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5282a555a02804dbe393e8b6cb97dc32f6a876fce4b31b6de8eb69fd34ea00d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 23,917$10,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,638.61 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.88 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 7,001$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.35 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 6,082$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.25 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 5,749$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 4,948$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.8 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Duke Blue Devils | 58c | 3,868$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.23 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 3,754$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.18 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 3,680$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 3,586$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.27 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 3,541$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.88 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 42c | 3,257$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 3,112$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 58c | 2,997$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 2,609$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed TCU Horned Frogs | 46c | 2,498$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.66 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 2,452$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed TCU Horned Frogs | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 2,361$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.84 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 1,969$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.28 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 1,635$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 1,607$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.48 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 4c | 1,482$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 1,437$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed TCU Horned Frogs | 42c | 1,417$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.1 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 1,350$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 1,231$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Duke Blue Devils | 30c | 1,198$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.01 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 3c | 1,195$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 1,169$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 1,090$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 1,045$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.18 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.94 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…1953backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 989.22$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.72 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 987.91$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.83 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 877.02$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.89 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 736.99$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.78 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Duke Blue Devils | 31c | 700.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 689.06$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed TCU Horned Frogs | 46c | 677.91$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.77 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 648.42$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.89 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Duke Blue Devils | 59c | 633.57$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 602.59$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 592.5$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.05 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 562.74$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…8414backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 553.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 449.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 387.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 356.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 354.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 349.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 343.51$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 340.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 316.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Duke Blue Devils | 61c | 306$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 47c | 297.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 292.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Duke Blue Devils | 30c | 286.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 272$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 260.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 246.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 244.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…065cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 198.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Duke Blue Devils | 58c | 198.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…0b12backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 194.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…0b7fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 192.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…fc25backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 190.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 188.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b74…8b14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 187.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 187.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…1401backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 185.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…52cdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 184.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…37febacked TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 182.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…f7d1backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 179.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 177.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed TCU Horned Frogs | 53c | 172.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932a…9c18backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 171.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 169.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…87dcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 169.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 168.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 166.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…16cdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 165.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…6f23backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 165.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…46c4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 164.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 68c | 163.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…c92bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 162.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…b309backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 160.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 159.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…7c61backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 154.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.