TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbee0…aa9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
289
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: World Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 61 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT7643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$705
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$735
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,613.63
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.19
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,567.76
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.09
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,075
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$1,253.31
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.02
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$869.74
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.77
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.7
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,368.33
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.42
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$35.51
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$414
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$715.56
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.49
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$1,044.52
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$203.11
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$33.12
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.91
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.08
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$21.86
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.46
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$70.38
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.5
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$86.79
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$43.87
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.74
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.24
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.98
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$30.88
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$25.51
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.94
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.1
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.89
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.32
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$32.39
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.84
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$75.48
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$32.08
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.51
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.87
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$88.74
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$103.81
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$8.27
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$32.55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+109.2%+$20.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.82
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$630
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$868
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$408
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$414.83
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$590
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,430
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$341.39
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$167.74
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,060
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$797.32
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$664.95
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$140
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$206.72
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.43
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58%+$111.54
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.13
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$15.17
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.38
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.78
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$79.17
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.56
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$31.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.86
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$192
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$138
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$303
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$377.97
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$49.59
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$18.85
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$21.2
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$11.03
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.52
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.85
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$114.15
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.93
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$110.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$6.46
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$14.17
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.82
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.28
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+266.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.11
Will Meta reach $680 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$48.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Lanús vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Utahbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.