Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9077c0b659adafe9ab6c2fb3f70f766953a1f860af23a57de7a96c82b9a7be81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 76c | 1,293$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 12c | 921.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 428.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 388.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 384.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 367.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 77c | 337.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 25c | 317.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…5a42backed Yes | 6c | 311.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 287.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 30c | 282.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 25c | 263.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 28c | 220.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…48c4backed Yes | 29c | 215.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 27c | 194.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 28c | 173.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 37c | 172.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 167.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed No | 69c | 165.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed No | 58c | 164.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 31c | 156.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7224…1b96backed No | 65c | 144.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 24c | 138.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 76c | 136.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 136.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 65c | 136.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 72c | 131.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 129.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 123.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 121.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 31c | 117.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 31c | 114.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 37c | 108.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7786backed Yes | 63c | 107.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 95.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 49c | 94.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 35c | 93.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 93.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed Yes | 23c | 92.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 89.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6825…836abacked Yes | 40c | 82.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…3048backed No | 51c | 79.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 44c | 77.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 48c | 75.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 42c | 68.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 65c | 67.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 29c | 66.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed No | 78c | 65.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 27c | 62.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…3ddcbacked Yes | 59c | 61.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 17c | 61.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 39c | 60.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 60.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 43c | 60.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5c…f5f6backed Yes | 32c | 57.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 79c | 57.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 52c | 55.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…bb29backed Yes | 22c | 53.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…6d81backed Yes | 28c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Yes | 31c | 50.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…2f25backed Yes | 57c | 50.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65f…8c1ebacked Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 62c | 48.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 72c | 46.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…db02backed No | 45c | 46.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 26c | 45.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 61c | 44.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…155cbacked Yes | 42c | 44.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 44c | 44.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 35c | 43.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 45c | 42.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…e908backed Yes | 26c | 40.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 27c | 39.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 35c | 39.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…b5e8backed Yes | 64c | 37.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 48c | 36.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked No | 78c | 34.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 32c | 33.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 43c | 32.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…4bb2backed Yes | 33c | 32.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 42c | 32.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…12febacked No | 50c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 45c | 29.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 41c | 28.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 58c | 28.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 49c | 28.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…70e1backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…dfdbbacked Yes | 57c | 25.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…5f7ebacked No | 60c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed No | 79c | 24.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 71c | 24.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…293dbacked No | 77c | 24.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.