TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76a6…b7dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT14834.5%51 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+241.1%+$65.69
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.67
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+65%+$37.85
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$32.79
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.76
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$38.81
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56%+$34.59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$38.66
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49%+$31.8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$29.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$31.69
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT5944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.88
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Xinyu Wang vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$39.52
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.85
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$75.39
Oeiras 3: Whitney Osuigwe vs Sinja Krausbacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.62
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$206
Oeiras 3: Rebeka Masarova vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.98
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.88
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Khumoun Sultanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Santa Cruz: Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboianbacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$96.66
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Estevezbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$107.3
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Elina Svitolinabacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.55
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$114.46
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.71
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$74.16
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.63
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$63.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.68
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$35.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$40.45
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.78
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$25.67
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.03
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+77%+$84.71
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+50%+$33.35
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$34.44
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$47.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Metizport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.