Tennis · resolved market
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Elina Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0360467942d1f12706a27889cf89f214290e096ac342818d9d57cd29a36dd9f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elina Svitolinaof Eva Lys, Elina Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Eva Lys | 17c | 11,067$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.39 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Eva Lys | 17c | 5,590$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Eva Lys | 13c | 3,896$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Eva Lys | 3c | 3,695$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Eva Lys | 12c | 3,458$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.67 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Eva Lys | 3c | 3,120$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Eva Lys | 9c | 2,717$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Eva Lys | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Eva Lys | 10c | 1,598$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Eva Lys | 17c | 1,553$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Eva Lys | 18c | 1,270$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.04 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eva Lys | 7c | 1,238$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eva Lys | 14c | 1,232$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Lys | 7c | 1,128$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Eva Lys | 8c | 900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Eva Lys | 18c | 869.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eva Lys | 7c | 787.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Eva Lys | 7c | 724.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Eva Lys | 3c | 533.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Lys | 13c | 503.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Eva Lys | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eva Lys | 8c | 474.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…3cdebacked Eva Lys | 11c | 352.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Eva Lys | 18c | 341.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Elina Svitolina | 80c | 304.11$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eva Lys | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…3d1fbacked Eva Lys | 8c | 283.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Eva Lys | 19c | 282.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Eva Lys | 5c | 248.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Eva Lys | 12c | 217.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7644…13d7backed Eva Lys | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Eva Lys | 12c | 166.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Eva Lys | 19c | 115.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Eva Lys | 17c | 107.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Eva Lys | 12c | 102.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Eva Lys | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -10.3wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Eva Lys | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Eva Lys | 17c | 91.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Eva Lys | 13c | 91.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Eva Lys | 20c | 83.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Eva Lys | 16c | 70.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…12b2backed Eva Lys | 20c | 70.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Eva Lys | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Elina Svitolinathis page
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Lys (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.