TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbed3…2811backed Under78c11,400$8,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.77580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c3,293$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.172,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c2,134$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.923,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over23c1,656$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0316543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c1,517$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.91,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over46c1,479$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.575927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c848.02$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5238453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under65c833.37$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c765.71$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9938047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under52c744.85$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under45c728.68$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.872650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over59c680.31$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.381855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c564.35$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0add…8809backed Over26c562.85$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under75c544.85$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over23c517.17$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.512,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-76.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over61c448.18$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.941546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over22c446.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.38254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over48c404.39$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under52c393.39$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over24c380.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3655545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under76c343.66$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.483557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b3…626abacked Over25c276.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over22c259.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0774155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over23c256.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.051560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over38c254.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over35c233.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over44c222.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.81741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick20cpaid+141.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x96b1…812bbacked Over22c207.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over24c203.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.935635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under41c199.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.973847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Over8c192.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-59.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over26c183.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over23c174.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over23c161.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.393033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over25c160.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.48853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over21c155.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over25c155.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.29056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over25c153.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8810956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over22c132.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.193030%9 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Under75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over52c130.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.982642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over24c129.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.621936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over24c118.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.442254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Over24c116.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over64c115.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over23c108.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.324546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over22c108.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.831747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over22c108.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.831540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over53c101.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over24c99.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.865040%20 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under76c98.04$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a6…b7dcbacked Over24c95.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Over29c94.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Over55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.651030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Under53c84.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.521827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over72c76.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7214767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Under78c75.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7523949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over18c71.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.812258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over38c70.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8963857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over19c69.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Over44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Over24c61.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over33c57.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Over44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.332222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95da…f58bbacked Over24c43.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…527abacked Over24c43.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.395158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under71c40.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.692060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under77c39.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.075448.1%26 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd00d…9817backed Under76c38.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under78c38.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4214552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c8…bac9backed Over28c37.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+120.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over55c35.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.462025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Over44c35.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under73c30.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under66c29.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.112633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Under66c29.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over48c28.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.934751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over72c27.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.669164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb11…cdbcbacked Under78c25.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75be…9812backed Over49c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+59.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Over52c24.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under75c23.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Over55c23.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24568.9%31 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c16.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3569448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under73c16.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5215459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.