Europa Conference League · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2581f745f93b8c8393dd99cd1ecbe9306d603df262f1bc3b03aa8229468207e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 5,509$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.07 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 47c | 2,781$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.94 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 2,059$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 947.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 480.73$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.41 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 442.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 441.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…28e6backed Over | 46c | 314.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 51c | 296.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 293.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 291.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Under | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 45c | 268.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 41c | 263.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 261.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 183$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 53c | 179.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 49c | 179.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…eb65backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 46c | 162.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 131.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 60c | 125.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 55c | 123.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 112.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 99.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…d413backed Under | 53c | 91.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 65.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 57.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 57.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 55.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Under | 54c | 54.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 73c | 53.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 50.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Over | 46c | 49.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Over | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 73c | 49.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Over | 49c | 43.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 45c | 43.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…ed60backed Over | 47c | 42.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 54c | 36.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…a428backed Over | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 30c | 34.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5187…aa17backed Under | 55c | 31.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 53c | 29.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 52c | 28.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 54c | 28.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…eb06backed Under | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.