Europa Conference League · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec17a066f6c4a6a506e1949fd7287fbc76a7d2b9c8fa85139142226ba2edc76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,733$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,211$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.37 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 52c | 709.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 53c | 367.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 49c | 247.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 244.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 244$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 49c | 217.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 216.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed No | 49c | 198.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 53c | 194.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…5c7cbacked Yes | 50c | 147.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 137.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 109.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 101.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes | 53c | 73.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 50c | 70.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 66.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Yes | 54c | 48.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 48c | 47.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 47c | 46.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 47c | 46.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 47c | 46.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 47c | 46.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 53c | 36.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…c240backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 34.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 59c | 29.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 52c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 47c | 23.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 20.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.