TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a70…cba6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: IPO, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 55 out of 100; worst Movies at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$11.81
Oscars Bingobacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.13
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.86
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will "Kylie" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$35.92
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.31
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$12.77
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$77.2
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$40.17
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.35
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.26
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.32
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.97
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.35
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$26.98
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+285.4%+$736.8
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$113.6
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Barcelona score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$258.54
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.81
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+82%+$120.77
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$58.6
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$50.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.35
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.24
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.25
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$100.06
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.21
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$11.73
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$153.22
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$7.94
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.49
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$218.27
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.65
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$95.45
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.09
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$52.63
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.9
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.32
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$57.54
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.15
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40%+$24.8
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+190.9%+$38.19
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+86.7%+$82.35
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.2%+$105.17
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.93
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+148%+$6,209.14
United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.8
Hungary vs. Greece: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Ukraine vs. Albania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Scotland vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$38.6
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Ukraine vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.04
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$108
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.68
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.6
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$116.27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$1,023.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+155.2%+$119.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40%+$28.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.82
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+195.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$91.69
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.