Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00ac1db33db8ddf0cd1a00def58731d66c90f18c549aca5036cede85e8ca267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,011$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.73 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,205$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 337.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 54c | 192.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 154.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 58c | 152.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…4572backed Yes | 35c | 78.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 26c | 43.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…45c2backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 74c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…11f3backed No | 70c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.