TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,900 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.8912839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Under53c2,750$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under52c2,378$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.1671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02931049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over23c1,750$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.62626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under53c1,250$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5284755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over13c899.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c755.99$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over47c721.5$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1121143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over48c687.5$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c372.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.552050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c368.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.361,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Under53c319.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under74c299.03$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c291.89$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under53c282.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.961668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c249.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over27c241.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over14c226$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.645729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over30c221.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.578333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c215$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c214.3$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under74c211.71$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over49c208.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451822.2%4 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c6…dd21backed Over50c184$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…eecfbacked Over49c168$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cab…d8bebacked Over50c164$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c151.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.439450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under51c147.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c137$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bc…75b4backed Over49c137$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e8…006fbacked Over50c137$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c118.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.27353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over41c103$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.235343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Under52c99.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.811764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under53c95.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.964141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c1…c0d1backed Under51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ca…6935backed Under51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under52c68.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over48c67.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.271936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1424051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e49…d90fbacked Under51c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe436…159fbacked Under53c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6601…1c14backed Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.522340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Over48c41.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64a5…826fbacked Under51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa184…2217backed Under52c38.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over46c38.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.773348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf418…65c9backed Over49c37.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2d…f552backed Under51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf0…6105backed Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b9…90dabacked Under51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504e…defcbacked Under51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2384…b231backed Under51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under79c31.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.576368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab7…ca89backed Under51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa77c…0cf6backed Over47c29.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8f…81c3backed Under53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde13…8dd5backed Under51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under52c25.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.013745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f2…0884backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over49c22.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e86…0090backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under51c21.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.433351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under51c21.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3614247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe47…3af4backed Under51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061f…d92ebacked Under51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under51c20.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5985…a8cabacked Under51c20.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under74c19.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1515048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under74c17.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.435957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.