Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18881801ef12adf5dda968ffddb19b492210a500e4f4d1c6694d094b0df2cb8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AJ Auxerreof RC Strasbourg Alsace, AJ Auxerre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 4,335$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.64 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5c | 2,162$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 1,249$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked AJ Auxerre | 75c | 721$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AJ Auxerre | 75c | 593.77$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked AJ Auxerre | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed AJ Auxerre | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 14c | 238$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed AJ Auxerre | 74c | 161.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 153.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked AJ Auxerre | 78c | 145.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 88.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed AJ Auxerre | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked AJ Auxerre | 78c | 28.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed AJ Auxerre | 78c | 27.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed AJ Auxerre | 78c | 22.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed AJ Auxerre | 75c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.