Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf9ff0ff18726cd24d294a72255f4fe5e3d562831b39a6a839291449c78a4565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 8,480$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.15 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 34c | 1,244$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 74c | 660.62$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.86 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 633.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.29 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 19c | 469.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 400.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 393.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 273.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 63c | 215$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 54c | 211.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 26c | 192.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 181.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 133.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 28c | 109$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 55c | 96.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 83.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 72c | 76.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…dcb2backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 26c | 65.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 42c | 60.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 73c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 30c | 53.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 45c | 52.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 28c | 39.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 70c | 34.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 69c | 32.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 29.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Over | 74c | 28.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 72c | 27.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.9wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 72c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.