TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5985…a8ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.85
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.36
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.09
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$13.4
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.16
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$9.66
76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.92
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.62
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.8
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$16.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.99
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.96
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.71
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.82
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.53
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.1%+$8.93
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.6%+$11.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.75
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+70.6%+$9.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.