TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Celtics, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,187 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics51c48,799$24,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,957.061,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns48c30,080$14,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,738.571,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics51c29,425$15,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,006.941,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Suns49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Celtics52c20,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.997759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3632…7e1ebacked Suns49c14,796$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,545.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Suns47c11,111$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.7938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x044b…8b85backed Suns49c11,086$5,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Suns49c11,020$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.4149246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Suns49c9,602$4,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.9426544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Suns49c8,800$4,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4881675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+96.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed Celtics52c8,700$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5241723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Celtics53c8,491$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5004535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa669…a7c2backed Suns49c8,208$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.861250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Celtics52c7,969$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.985754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics52c7,777$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.0145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns55c7,256$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics51c6,666$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.6574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff2…0a2bbacked Suns49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Suns49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4534854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics53c5,707$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics51c5,626$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb514…0e4ebacked Suns49c5,571$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics50c5,276$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Suns48c5,075$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,63911241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics52c4,743$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Suns52c4,734$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.267150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Suns49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6317349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns48c3,103$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Suns52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics53c2,842$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Suns49c2,800$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Suns49c2,653$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.0613750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Celtics52c2,300$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Suns49c2,232$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.4425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe69…3f4bbacked Suns49c2,158$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216a…0b2abacked Suns49c2,023$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59dd…aa68backed Suns49c2,021$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6075…8e15backed Celtics51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Celtics53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Celtics53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a7…5f53backed Celtics51c1,821$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1a6…841abacked Celtics51c1,614$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Celtics51c1,600$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82213148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics51c1,584$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811a…0a1abacked Suns49c1,532$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns54c1,484$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3b…b637backed Celtics51c1,325$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796d…d267backed Celtics51c1,291$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Suns49c1,263$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.9210651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df4…69e2backed Celtics51c1,253$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a6…aa37backed Celtics51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics54c1,169$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3897…d41abacked Celtics51c1,164$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed Suns49c1,163$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.121747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Celtics53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x879b…1d25backed Suns49c1,050$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7ec8backed Celtics53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-71.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Celtics52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Suns48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Celtics52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb84a…5918backed Celtics51c945$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Celtics53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Suns48c885.42$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.423847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…f2fbbacked Suns49c872$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b74…e530backed Suns49c844$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95a…1820backed Suns49c832$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns48c818.63$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.724,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Suns49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.338450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Celtics52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Celtics53c730$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.950239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Suns49c718.44$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.222,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb011…68efbacked Suns49c695$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Celtics51c662.33$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.411942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Celtics51c578$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Celtics47c539.22$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Suns47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26552844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Suns49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2555349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Suns48c479.17$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1721355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Suns48c468.75$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0244…fce4backed Celtics51c451$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Celtics50c449.17$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.583669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a16…6afdbacked Celtics51c438$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Suns48c435.71$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.575843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7b8…f33ebacked Celtics51c425$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa634…b1babacked Celtics51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Suns48c417$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x599c…497abacked Suns49c415$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Celtics49c406.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Suns49c404.19$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns48c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Celtics51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Suns48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Celtics52c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Celtics52c399.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Celtics52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics45c360.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.531,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Suns48c356.46$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Celtics53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Celtics53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15936449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.