NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52b941c4a6853953b168157259eace4d121a321b60dda9f7e5912a94adcb8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,380 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Over | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 48c | 277.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…c8b1backed Under | 47c | 127.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Under | 48c | 34.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Under | 48c | 30.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 30.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 53c | 29.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 54c | 26.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 25.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Suns won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.