NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa362883f974c0c531768ebc4029e0b5d00270fc21a4b68b3324cfddf9f4436ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,644 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 7,730$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 6,152$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 2,989$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Over | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.23 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,900$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,085$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 830$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 10c | 601.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 51c | 489.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 49c | 434.38$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 413.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 157.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 154.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…476bbacked Over | 48c | 127$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 48c | 61.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…a304backed Under | 51c | 56.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 55.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 46c | 53.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…0075backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 56c | 32.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 51c | 31.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 45c | 28.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 48c | 24.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 52c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Suns won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.