NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3bc28709c4b8c8cad0864a66a4f98e0345e2868b250d059e880553dbe65185

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	49c	16,493$8,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,022.05	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccf…6ed9backed Over	51c	13,725$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,725.49	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	51cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	48c	13,208$6,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,400.68	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over	51c	8,922$4,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,371.57	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	46c	8,496$3,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,943.01	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over	57c	7,171$4,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,083.41	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcaf…7755backed Over	51c	6,274$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,074.49	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…1e32backed Under	51c	3,920$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb17…da8bbacked Over	49c	3,920$1,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Over	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.58	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b9…37d6backed Over	50c	2,399$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd674…e55cbacked Under	50c	2,305$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	50c	1,787$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$892.43	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7e2ebacked Over	50c	1,740$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	58c	1,729$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.77	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f5…da69backed Over	50c	1,694$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…06fabacked Over	50c	1,564$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over	51c	1,294$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.12	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x246e…e74abacked Under	50c	1,266$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	49c	1,240$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.57	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbba7…5336backed Under	50c	1,129$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	53c	1,125$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.74	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c25…ee9bbacked Under	50c	1,011$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6954…b347backed Under	50c	994$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	925.84$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.98	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over	51c	921.57$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.57	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	43c	766.64$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.66	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	752.1$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.24	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6140…36e6backed Under	50c	706$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a8…97a1backed Over	50c	696$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over	51c	686.67$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.47	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c0…a57cbacked Under	50c	682$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	51c	510.42$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.47	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over	53c	506.99$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.93	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over	51c	437.69$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.47	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	48c	368.75$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over	55c	329.74$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.67	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	308.03$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.38	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	43c	231.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.57	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	54c	163.01$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.96	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	51c	136.97$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.12	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under	50c	108.56$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.1	201	40.3%81 W · 120 L	-8.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	46c	106.38$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	48c	99.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	47c	98.42$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.96	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68c…c8b1backed Under	44c	94.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.46	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under	46c	89.16$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.71	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Under	47c	87.23$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	85	45.9%39 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	48c	71.64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	44c	71$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under	51c	69.13$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.11	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	134	47%63 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	54c	63$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.98	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	47c	53.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under	46c	50.19$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under	45c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	50c	45.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.81	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e4…4bc7backed Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	50c	39.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.81	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over	55c	39.33$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83df…362fbacked Under	49c	38.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	49c	38.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under	51c	37.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9be6…b8b2backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under	44c	32.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	56c	32.89$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over	56c	31.86$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.02	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f51…c130backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	57c	29.58$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.72	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Under	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over	53c	23.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over	57c	21.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.05	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	57c	20.68$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.89	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	241	50.2%121 W · 120 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over	52c	19.77$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	327	52.9%173 W · 154 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ca…36d3backed Over	58c	18.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+71%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Suns won
Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5No won
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Suns won
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Suns won
Suns vs. CelticsCeltics won
Suns vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event