NBA · resolved market
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56b8a51df8cb89b8e8467da8dafbe5387b3c47abfd3a9bdf5c4efd607f57a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,780 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 57c | 1,029$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 55c | 838.11$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.96 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 59c | 438.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 413$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Yes | 41c | 344.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.62 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 45c | 304$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 224.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes | 45c | 223.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 45c | 223.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Yes | 43c | 160$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yes | 44c | 113.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Yes | 45c | 111.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 56c | 104.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 56c | 83.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 56c | 67.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 42c | 61.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 61.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 48c | 50.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…5214backed Yes | 52c | 43.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4dbfbacked Yes | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 58c | 29.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 40c | 26.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…19cdbacked Yes | 44c | 26.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 56c | 22.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Suns won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.