TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,043 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c83,045$42,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,538.7160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c42,292$20,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,727.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c39,252$19,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,540.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c30,128$15,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,516.261,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over50c28,842$14,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,514.6157950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c20,540$10,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,104.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Over51c18,293$9,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,963.564151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c13,455$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,525.1145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.999159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c9,418$4,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c5,476$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.5231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c4,632$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over52c4,154$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.8427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c4,011$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c3,768$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.062,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bf…5624backed Under52c3,045$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b8…aa26backed Under52c3,043$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Under49c3,033$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.823745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeafb…591fbacked Under52c3,033$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7279…17b0backed Over48c2,976$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0f…ecddbacked Over48c2,975$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaad2…a726backed Over48c2,953$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c2,908$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…2ecabacked Over48c2,907$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac78…209abacked Under52c2,895$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371e…e6e8backed Over48c2,894$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdf…b0e5backed Under52c2,886$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1f…22eabacked Under52c2,864$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aab…1277backed Under52c2,847$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…4a9ebacked Over48c2,839$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa836…85f3backed Over48c2,837$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under48c2,817$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.168447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…64a7backed Under52c2,756$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2073…d79dbacked Over48c2,748$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4209…8fb5backed Under52c2,739$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86f…1bf7backed Over48c2,737$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db6…b2ebbacked Over48c2,726$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7f…e354backed Over48c2,718$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec9d…0754backed Under52c2,718$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c2,705$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.41,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f3…949ebacked Under52c2,679$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf1d…486fbacked Over48c2,678$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b0…b946backed Over48c2,669$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf3…c3babacked Over48c2,658$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de8…9a97backed Under52c2,642$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3447…12dcbacked Under52c2,586$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb999…77c6backed Under52c2,582$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under48c2,200$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0568445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under48c2,090$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.212850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under49c2,057$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c2,039$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99917349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,702$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c1,658$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.9141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,614$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.153,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,547$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under48c1,509$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2320352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c1,326$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.561,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c1,199$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over51c1,106$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.1456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under53c1,050$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55626553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c1,037$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.671,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Under49c988.81$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.521838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c957$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.3654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under49c892$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.085947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over52c822.75$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.4530453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under11c763.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over51c757.29$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.9242352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c753.36$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c721.04$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.312,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c716.86$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over52c625$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over51c573.45$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9222552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over52c554.22$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6426756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under49c550$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.711942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over51c547.05$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over52c522.31$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.712650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c462.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under49c446$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c437.98$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over51c393.08$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under49c382$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.099555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over52c367.48$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3911235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under49c365.38$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over52c361.58$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4513554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over51c306.7$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0931354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over52c290$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1814144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c288.47$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.62,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c285.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.451,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over52c284.02$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0123655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under48c274.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.