NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e32a033727bc2bfbf8e3d1dc9978fc341d62dbe5f5461bba81f4044120bf14d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,586 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 5,141$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,558$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa618…5cdbbacked Over | 53c | 2,329$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaa…c33ebacked Under | 47c | 1,899$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d5f5backed Under | 47c | 1,799$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 58c | 1,627$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08d…9001backed Under | 47c | 1,488$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…63e0backed Over | 53c | 1,448$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…4ea7backed Over | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…c83abacked Over | 55c | 1,019$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…cdbdbacked Under | 48c | 875$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…ca7bbacked Over | 53c | 691$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…c0cbbacked Under | 47c | 688$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 604.01$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 541.16$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a6…8739backed Under | 47c | 529$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…241cbacked Over | 53c | 526$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 42c | 406.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 33c | 373$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…0b37backed Under | 45c | 195.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 47c | 166.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 147.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 44c | 115.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 60c | 94.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…c8b1backed Under | 42c | 88.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 41c | 85.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 65.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 63.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 52c | 60.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 56c | 58.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 45c | 57.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 53.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…69c4backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 36.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 50c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 58c | 36.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Over | 58c | 35.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 42c | 34.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 30.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…4734backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 24.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e8…0435backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 54c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…36d3backed Over | 59c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Suns won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.